Tempo — Social Feed
DAU jumped +40% in week 1 after launch, then fell -25% below the pre-launch baseline by week 4.
The scenario
Tempo is a productivity app. Four weeks ago you launched a Social Feed — users can share completed tasks and cheer each other on. The initial DAU spike looked like a success but the metric has since dropped below where it was before launch.
Constraint
Leadership wants a data-backed decision by Thursday — keep, fix, or kill the feature.
Your task
Explain what happened to DAU and recommend a clear next action.
1. Clarify: What do you need to know before drawing conclusions?
Pick the 3 questions you'd ask first.
Model approach (strong picks)
- Strong pickHow is DAU defined here — any app open, or a meaningful action (task created, completed)?
- Strong pickDid the week-1 spike come from new users (install spike) or reactivated/existing users?
- Strong pickAre users who engaged with the Social Feed retaining better or worse than those who didn't?
2. Hypothesize: What explains the spike-then-crash pattern?
Pick the 3 hypotheses you'd investigate first.
Model approach (strong picks)
- Strong pickThe spike was curiosity-driven — users tried the feed once and found no value in returning to it.
- Strong pickThe Social Feed attracted a burst of new low-intent users from a viral moment who never planned to stay.
- Strong pickThe feed is noisy or spammy — existing high-value users were annoyed and disengaged.
3. Investigate: What do you do before Thursday's decision?
Pick the 3 highest-leverage analyses.
Model approach (strong picks)
- Strong pickCohort retention: compare D7/D14/D30 retention for users acquired in launch week vs. the prior 4 weeks.
- Strong pickSegment DAU by feed engagers vs. non-engagers — did the feed users retain better or drive the drop?
- Strong pickCheck the source of week-1 new users — organic, paid, referral, viral share? How do they compare in LTV signal?
4. Propose: What's your recommendation to leadership?
Pick the one recommendation you'd make Thursday.
Model approach (strong picks)
- Strong pickKeep the feature but gate it — show the feed only to users with ≥3 connections to fix the cold-start problem, and measure 2-week retention before a broader decision.
- Strong pickKill the Social Feed — the data shows it hurt retention for existing users without adding long-term value.